Grossman lifts Stars over Wild in OT

Hockey Betting Lines

03/14/2009 - Dallas, TX (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Nicklas Grossman netted the game-winner 2:23 into overtime, as the Dallas Stars defeated the Minnesota Wild, 3-2, at American Airlines Center.

Steve Ott scored twice and Loui Eriksson collected three assists for the Stars, who have won three of their last five games. Marty Turco turned aside 28 of the 30 shots he faced to notch his 32nd win of the season.

Mikko Koivu and Andrew Brunette tallied for the Wild, who have lost three in a row -- all beyond regulation -- and are 2-4-4 in their last 10 outings. Niklas Backstrom made 26 saves in the setback.

The American Airlines Center has become a house of horrors for Minnesota, which has dropped 10 straight (0-7-3) as the guest.

After a scoreless third period, the game went to overtime, where Grossman fired a wrister from the top of the right circle that made its way through traffic and past Backstrom to give Dallas the additional point.

It didn't take Dallas long to turn on the red light. Eriksson tried to stuff the puck in at the right side of the enemy cage and was denied his team- leading 33rd goal of the season. The Swedish left winger gathered the rebound and made a centering pass to a wide-open Ott, who buried the puck behind Backstrom exactly two minutes into the contest.

Ott, who was taken 25th overall by Dallas in 2000, found the net again 38 seconds into the second period. Minnesota was completely mesmerized by the puck and nobody accounted for Ott in front of the net, who scored on an easy tap-in. A renown agitator, Ott is enjoying a career year, having already established personal-bests in goals (15), assists (20) and points (35).

The two-goal lead evaporated later in the middle frame. Koivu lit the lamp on the power play, snapping wrister from the slot that beat a screened Turco on the glove side with 7:51 remaining. Brunette was then credited with a the tying goal on a redirection with six minutes to play.

Game Notes

Mike Ribeiro recorded two helpers for Dallas...The Stars are 19-13-4 at home this season...Minnesota is 14-17-2 on the road....The Wild finished 1-for-3 on the power play, while Dallas was 0-for-3.

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Horse Betting

(This is an update of a sportsbook for the May 4th issue of ESPN The Magazine).

The Kentucky Derby's post-position draw happened on Wednesday. And, as is always the case, shortly afterwards, a buzz raced around Churchill Downs. It was a low rumble at first, nothing that the squares in the mint julep crowd pick up right away. But by the time the sun set over the twin spires, the chatter was impossible to ignore. Everyone -- sharps, trainers, owners -- was talking about one thing: the wise guy horse, the pre-draw long shot us mopes didn't have on our radar until it was too late.

"You think you're hearing the scoop," says handicapper Lane Gold. "Then you get to the window, the odds are short, and you missed it."

Recognizing a wise-guy horse early is as hard as picking a Derby bonnet. That's because handicappers don't like hype (see ya, I Want Revenge). They want Thoroughbreds who look good losing prep races like the Santa Anita Derby. They eye horses who ate up the field after starting wide or made an easy transition from synthetic tracks to dirt. They look for ponies who showed muscle gain race to race and those who ran hard after several weeks' rest.

"A wise guy," says John Avello, a bookmaker at Wynn Las Vegas, "looks for a horse who can improve."

When I first wrote Horse Betting for The Mag, which I turned in a three weeks before Wednesday's draw, I predicted these three horses had wise guy potential:

CHOCOLATE CANDY (15-1 in mid-April, currently 20-1 according to Avello): His second-place finish at Santa Anita, following a seven-week layoff, proved two things: He can run after resting, and -- by losing a high-profile prep race -- he wouldn't be overhyped.

DESERT PARTY (15-1; 15-1): He was upset in the UAE Derby by a horse he had beaten twice. The public remembers his loss, but the wise guys his wins.

PIONEEROF THE NILE (8-1; 4-1): The big favorite at Santa Anita struggled to win, so he initially got less hype than Quality Road and I Want Revenge.

You may have noticed that the odds on Pioneerof the Nile have been cut in half, from 8-1 to 4-1. Which means the wise guys took a shine to him long before the post-position draw. But, to be honest, this is one of those years with four elite horses getting everyone's attention, squares and sharps alike.

"You're not gonna get a lot of chatter about a horse that isn't in that group, which includes Pioneer, I Want Revenge, Dunkirk and Friesan Fire," Avello told me Wednesday. "We don't have a group of horses behind those top four who look like real legit contenders."

Come Derby week, the final two elements in picking a wise guy horse are how he's working out and what gate he's coming out of.

(By the way, picking a Preakness favorite is a whole different bale of hay, partially based on how horses finish in the Derby. You can see my analysis of who has the best shot at Pimlico on Insider Sunday morning.)

Well, early in the week I Want Revenge, Pioneerof the Nile and Friesan Fire were working out better than anyone. Some thought Friesan Fire, currently 6-1, might have run too fast, burning a five-furlong run in :57 4/5. "When you are running that fast you have the sense that it took something out of him," says Gold. "The Derby is longer than any horse has run, and if they need that extra surge you worry they won't have it because they burned it in the workout."

But, Gold points out, Friesan Fire's trainer is Larry Jones, Two years ago his horse Hard Spun did a five-eighths workout in :57 3/5 and then went on to finish second, behind Street Sense, in the Derby. "Every trainer has different methods," says Gold. "And clearly he knows what he's doing."

Now, as for starting position, Gold says to remember this: Churchill Downs traditionally has 14 starting gates. For the Derby, it brings out auxiliary gates and between the original 14th gate and the new 15th gate, there is a little more space than there is between gates 1-14. "That 15 position will give you a precious second or two to sort out what's happening to your inside," says Gold. "Sixteen is also okay because you can follow the horse in front of you."

Dunkirk, one of the race favorites, is coming out of gate 15. In 16 is Baffert's Pioneerof the Nile. I Want Revenge drew 13, where Smarty Jones won from in 2004, and Friesan Fire picked the sixth position. "He doesn't have a lot of speed to the inside of him," says Gold. "So he will get a clear shot to be near the front."

All the jibber-jabber means this: Pioneerof the Nile has leapfrogged from 8-1 to being the second favorite, along with Dunkirk, behind I Want Revenge. Meanwhile, Friesan Fire, with a good trainer, a strong week of training and a decent post position, is still at 6-1. "By Saturday, it's possible he could go from fourth to the favorite," says Gold.

In other words, meet Friesan Fire, your 2009 wise guy horse.

"Now," says Avello, "it's time for action."

To visit this horse betting site go to MySportsbook.com for all your horse racing betting needs.